菅氏が優勢、異例の「無派閥」有力候補　自民総裁選

LDP presidential election, Mr. Suga is dominantan exceptional candidate for "un faction"

Looking back on past LDP presidential elections, it is almost the case that candidates for major factions win. Factions have the primary purpose of being chairman and president of the territory, and if there is a base number of members, it is easy for the factions to cooperate.

Mr. Suga, who belonged to the Obuchi school (now Takeshita school) after the first election in 1996, left the election once with the horse elected by President Shiroku Kajiyama. After that, he moved to the Kato faction Hiroike society (now the Kishida faction), but since he left the Koga faction in 2009, he continues to be non-factional and repeats that the era of faction is over.In the case of Mr. Suga, the prime minister Shinzo Abe, Deputy Prime Minister Taro Aso and Finance Minister, and Toshihiro Nikai Secretary-General, who have influence over the major factions, supported all of them, so they have an advantage.

A faction with a large number of people has a large number of votes that can be voted for by the president, and it is easy to produce a president. The chances of winning are increased if the votes are gathered with the cooperation of multiple factions. Originally it is difficult for a non-factional candidate who has a poor foothold to vote to survive.

Source: https://www.nikkei.com/article/DGXMZO63296920R00C20A9EA2000/